![]() ![]() My best bet: Deebo Samuel Over 15.5 rushing yards ( -110 at BetMGM) I like Deebo to do his thing on the ground and exact some revenge on the smack-talking Dallas fans. This rushing prop still seems short considering his growing involvement in the ground game, his improved health, and his past work against Dan Quinn’s defense. Samuel’s rushing yards prop is sitting at 15.5 yards for the Divisional Round, which is the same total he was pegged with against Seattle last week when he got three touches for 32 yards – the bulk coming on a 22-yard run early on. San Francisco dominated the football in that game, holding it for 34 minutes, and handing off a total of 38 times. ![]() He took 13 snaps in the backfield in the Wild Card win over Dallas last year. Samuel lined up in the backfield seven times in the Wild Card Round – his second-highest count as a runner since missing Weeks 8 and 9. That means spreading the ball around to all the 49ers’ top talents, and exploiting what will be an exhausted Cowboys defense playing its fourth straight road game and facing this relentless rushing attack on a short week. San Francisco will also try to suck all the energy out of Dallas by playing its slow-paced offense that has leaned heavily on the ground-and-pound, handing off at the seventh-highest rate in the NFL. The 49ers will want to take the pressure off Brock Purdy, and need to keep the Cowboys’ league-best pass rush honest with a healthy dose of the run. ![]() Samuel bulldozed the Cowboys for 72 rushing yards on 10 carries in last year’s Wild Card meeting, including a 26-yard touchdown run that served as a gut punch to the Dallas defense in the third quarter. But with the Dallas run stop unit presenting a tough task (third lowest success rate allowed to runners), head coach Kyle Shanahan will need to get creative for those ground gains. Samuel has seen his rushing attempts temper a bit since the 49ers traded for Christian McCaffrey back in Week 7, and injuries have also slowed his snaps as a runner. He caught six of nine targets for 133 receiving yards, and tacked on an extra 32 yards on three rushing attempts – his busiest day on the ground since returning from injury after sitting out Weeks 15, 16, and 17. That was on full display in the Wild Card Round, with Samuel doing double duty once more. A big part of that play is the Niners’ depth on offense, including the versatility of Samuel. If you listen to me on the Sharp 600 podcast, you’ll know I’m putting fandom aside and have the 49ers to win outright on the moneyline (which is as low as -196 as of Thursday afternoon). I’ll speak for all Cowboys faithful when I say, “Dude, STFU!” The term “poking the bear” comes to mind when seeing the clip of a Cowboys fan talking smack to San Francisco Swiss Army knife Deebo Samuel via video chat during Dallas’ win at Tampa Bay on Monday. I run down the spread and total for this Divisional Round matchup and give my best NFL picks and predictions for Cowboys vs 49ers on Sunday, January 22. But before these storied franchises even step on the field, Dallas faces a disadvantage due to odd scheduling from the NFL this postseason. The Cowboys stop unit finished the season among the most disruptive, with 54 sacks and a league-high 33 takeaways. Irrelevant” faces his toughest test yet in this dangerous Dallas defense. It was the 49ers’ 11th straight win, and seventh in a row with rookie quarterback Brock Purdy under center. San Francisco snapped out of a slow start to the NFL playoffs with a monster second half against the Seahawks, flipping a 17-16 halftime hole into a one-sided 41-23 victory. A classic NFC rivalry gets rekindled in the NFL Divisional Round with the Dallas Cowboys in Santa Clara to clash with the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday night. ![]()
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